PERSONNEL
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Global Restructuring: Who’s Listening to the Big Powers?
Mali’s rejection of outside influences spelled a major reverse in Africa for France, the West, and ECOWAS, but it brought no joy for Beijing, or for regional or global governance.
HISTORY
Consequences: Today It Is Us; Tomorrow It Is You
The Horn of Africa is sliding toward a major war which seems likely to rapidly expand to embrace the major powers. The situation has strong parallels to the 1935 Italian invasion of Ethiopia, which began World War II and destroyed the League of Nations.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Nigeria Within Reach of Tactical Success, But…
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 04/2021
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 02/2021
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Private Military Contracting: Outsourcing Warfare
Private sector military forces have again become a norm of national security for many governments. But, as history shows, the costs may be higher than desired.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Nigeria Teeters on the Edge
Insurgency has splintered and spread. Now civilians are becoming State targets.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
2021: Return of the Leaders
The great malaise of 2021 will be the year of opportunity for leaders to make their mark.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EARLY WARNING | The Global Watershed of the US Elections
CRIME & CORRUPTION
Terror and Crime: The Indissoluble Marriage’s Second Honeymoon
Contact and cooperation between militant groups and organized crime — an historical match of illegals — has flourished since the early 1990s, eroding political stability around the world.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Can Erdogan’s “Conflict in All Directions” Strategy Work?
Turkey seems to be at war on all fronts, particularly with its nominal allies. How can that work?