SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
War as a (Fatal) Diversion From Reality
Egypt has been in a proxy war with Ethiopia. Ethiopia failed to grasp this, because war would seem fatal for both sides. Then Egypt stepped back from the brink.
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
EARLY WARNING | Each Nation Pursued by the Hounds of Hell
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Global Power Disparity Resumes for Africa, Latin America
RESOURCES
Post-COVID-19: Re-Thinking Energy Security
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Outlook Post-COVID-19: Re-Thinking Much of Africa
CRIME & CORRUPTION
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Coronavirus, Corruption: Africa’s Inheritance from Beijing
A staff estimate on a topic of current significance.
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
State of the World: Parlous, Transforming, Yet in Some Ways Stabilizing, Optimistic
The optimism may be hard to find, but the fact that crisis is now clearly upon us gives a certain clarity.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
The Butterfly Effect of Tremors in Small States
In chaos theory, a minute localized change in a complex system can have large effects elsewhere. And the elections in Dominica will play a significant rôle in the future strategic futures of Beijing as well as Washington, DC. But the impact will also reach Iran, Venezuela, Cuba, and so on.
SOVEREIGNTY
EN CLAIR | Beijing Reaps the African Whirlwind
SOVEREIGNTY
Sovereignty in the Age of Beijing: Can the PRC “Save” Australia? Or Any Nation?
Many Australians believe that their nation is caught in a wedge between the People’s Republic of China, its biggest trading partner, and the United States, its security ally and biggest investor. But is it? And what are the choices now open to sovereign states as the new global architecture emerges?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Nigeria’s Political Polarization Continues
PERSONNEL