PERSONNEL
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Assessing Long-Term Threats and Trends
The most important, least invested, security priority
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
ESSENTIAL READING | Japan’s View of its Current Threat Position
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
EARLY WARNING | Iran: The Bitterness or Emptiness of Whatever is Defined as Victory
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
How the New Multi-Polar Defense Industrial World Drives Geopolitical Evolution
Global defense industrial thinking is becoming far more entrepreneurial and creative as major defense forces break with absolute strategic integration with the US, or any other major power.
RESOURCES
The Strategic Landscape After the AI and EV Bubbles Burst
The AI and EV bubbles seem headed out of fashion in perhaps a year or two, reducing the distortion they have created in the energy and raw materials markets, and thus transforming the basic elements of the balance of power.
HISTORY
ESSENTIAL READING | Back to the Cold War Age of Spies...
The author of the 2026 book, Tradecraft, Tactics, and Dirty Tricks: Russian Intelligence and Putin’s Secret War, Sean Wiswesser, spent three decades as an officer of the US Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), locked in covert combat with the three Russian intelligence services (RIS).
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Beijing Bid to Move Beyond the First Island Chain Marked by a Major Failure
The Solomons situation is a significant one for the broader strategic framework and how it plays out over the coming two-plus years.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The Evaporation of Victory: How the US-Iran Deal Saw US Dreams Become Elusive
US President Trump has, it seems, opted to “declare victory and go home” from the war he began with Iran. And, unless toppled by the Iranians themselves, the autocrats suppressing Iran remain in power.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
A Foreseeable End to the AI Bubble Within a Changing Global Ethos
Our current pace of strategic change continues to overwhelm us to the point where it is often difficult to break down the areas of change attributable to technologies – such as artificial intelligence (AI) – and geopolitical moves from an age of globalism back to an age of nationalism.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Is North Korea in Play?
Just as the West did not want to believe the old Cold War was over, and its players changed, so it does not wish to consider North Korea a non-communist state. But it truly may be. What is it, and how can the strategic equation now be re-evaluated?
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Global Defense Procurement Patterns Set to Change Massively
It seems likely that the US share of the global defense marketplace will begin to peak within the next few years, and then enter a period of decline.