CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
CRIME & CORRUPTION
CURRENT ESTIMATE | The US “Gunpowder Treason and Plot” Takes a New Turn
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | US's Turkey Divorce Complicated by Qatar, Iran, Syria, Russia
The strategic path along which the US and Turkey are traveling has an element of fatalism about it, given that each side fears the divorce for a range of different reasons.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Triumph of Belief: Red Sea Rising
The Red Sea is emerging as a key global strategic dynamic thanks to a revolution begun in Ethiopia. The transformation moves back to a 3,000-year-old pattern, and is far from done.
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
Devouring the Kingdom
US-Saudi and Saudi-PRC relations are a factor in continued US dollar dominance. Beijing is poised to become a major rival to the US for influence in Saudi Arabia, and this could become the hub of the launch of the renminbi as a global currency.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
ESSENTIAL READING | Wings of Worry
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Why Turkey’s Old Allies Delay Acknowledging Reality
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Turning Point: The New US Afghanistan “Strategy”
CRIME & CORRUPTION
The State of the USA: River of Doubt; Swamp of Despair
It may be that the Washington, DC campaign to isolate, capture, and subdue US Pres. Donald Trump has finally succeeded. If so, what does that mean for the global strategic environment? But does Donald Trump have options to regain control of the situation?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EARLY WARNING | The Impulse in the US Toward Civil War
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Australia’s Great Strategic Transition
Australia is about to embark upon only its second strategic “course correction” since Federation in 1901. But it has yet to determine a destination, or to plot a course.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Moving the Global Geopolitical Center of Gravity
Why is the global strategic architecture changing? What led to it? How is it changing? How can we plan for it? Who will be at the center of gravity of the next era? And where?