ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
State of the World: Parlous, Transforming, Yet in Some Ways Stabilizing, Optimistic
The optimism may be hard to find, but the fact that crisis is now clearly upon us gives a certain clarity.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Turkey on the Prowl Again
Turkey’s revised policy for the Eastern Mediterranean and the Middle East is based on expanding its illegal occupation of Cyprus to dominate the entire island and the region. It is upgrading capabilities accordingly.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Why Britain’s Brexit Election Was a Pivotal Global Issue
Britain, post-Brexit, can become the cornerstone of a new, global NATO, even as the UK-EU trade relationship is being settled. In the meantime, US and Commonwealth links can substantially bolster NATO’s probable Indo-Pacific mission, while also contributing to a revived UK trading pattern.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
EARLY WARNING | When Ethics Collide With Strategic Logic
SOVEREIGNTY
A New “East-West” Fault Line
A new strategic framework is possible in which the US could regain some leverage in the Balkans and Eastern Mediterranean. And it could see a resolution of the Kosovo problem which has dogged US credibility in the region since 2008.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Kashmir: Information Dominance 2019-Style
SOVEREIGNTY
CURRENT ESTIMATE | A Window of Opportunity Opens for the US in the Balkans
Events have conspired in the Eastern Mediterranean to open a new chapter of strategic opportunity for the United States, just as US-Turkish relations have moved into a profound downward direction.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Turkey After the F-35 Cancellation: the Potential Impact on Cyprus
Turkey's actions toward Cyprus are now likely to strongly reflect the breakdown in Turkey's relations with the United States and the European Union.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 04/2019
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Persian Phoenix?
Iran has rejected pressures from Moscow and Beijing not to surge to dominate the Middle East. Where does this leave all the other players?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
The Middle East Returns to Itself?
And how the Trump-Sisi summit marked a significant further decline in Washington’s influence in the region.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE