STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Undoing Nixon in the Mid-East
The overthrow of Richard Nixon led post-Soviet Russia to dominance in the Middle East.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Nixon in the PRC
History has largely disregarded the unintended consequences of US Pres. Richard Nixon’s 1972 visit to the People’s Republic of China, and how the USSR retaliated, cutting short the President’s strategic agenda for dealing with both Beijing and Moscow.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Proud Suicide of Türkiye
Türkiye, after its Presidential election, enhanced its negotiating position in the Great Game over Central Asia, but in all other metrics entered possible terminal strategic decline.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 04/2023
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
ESSENTIAL READING | Looking Back to Today
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
AUKUS: Operational Vitality; Strategic Challenges
Operationally, the AUKUS alliance is moving rapidly to create an integrated global power projection instrument. But it is very different at the political level, where politicians appear to be distracted by other agendas.
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
China: Beijing’s Brave Face
Beijing’s latest forecasts are a breathtaking disguise for the abyss which it faces.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Beijing’s Eurasia Strategy May Deliver Beijing its Coup de Main
Xi Jinping, facing a collapsing PRC domestic economy and food supply, could broker a Ukraine war peace which would bring Ukraine back into the Eurasian fold. After all, he has now completed a major consolidation of influence over Iran and Saudi Arabia, supported by Iraq and Oman.
AUKUS alliance
CURRENT ESTIMATE | AUKUS: The Global Alliance is Not Just About Submarines
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EN CLAIR | Türkiye’s Implosion and Isolation From the West
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The New Middle East and Africa: The Red Sea Change of Command
Moscow has moved rapidly to rebuild its influence in the Horn of Africa — and Africa generally — to position itself for “Cold War II”, and Washington is attempting to catch up.
Argentina
When the Balloon Goes Up …
Balloon warfare has been advancing for years. Now, a public outcry at PRC balloon ops has generated a strategic watershed, damaging to Beijing.