STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Putin’s Sudden Turning Point
The stark East-West divide — or re-divide — was not irrevocable until now.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Samarkand: A Global Change with Washington Out in the Cold
A subtle shift in the global balance has occurred, without direct US input.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Military Conflict Evolves, and with It, Uncertainty
Armed conflicts are now more likely to occur, but warfighting lessons — from Russia-Ukraine and the PRC-ROC/US — are still incomplete, and outcomes uncertain.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EN CLAIR | The South Pacific: A War to Start All Wars?
Beijing ups its Indo-Pacific thrust while the West diverts its resources into Europe.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
AUKUS: Key Western Alliance for the Coming Decades? And Why it Could Fail
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | While Ukraine Burns, Turkey Ponders a War with Greece
Turkey’s President is now at his most desperate position since he became Prime Minister in 2003, and has a limited timeframe in which to recover his position, either electorally or, due to a national security emergency, before the June 2023 elections.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Immediate Strategic Consequences of the Ukraine War
HISTORY
ESSENTIAL READING | A Ukrainian View
Important New Strategic Literature
Algeria
Air Power Lessons: Evaluating the Ongoing Air Campaign Over Ukraine
It is clear that, well into the Russia-Ukraine war, Moscow’s combat air operations, and Russia’s doctrine and objectives, were not yet understood by Western professional observers.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Future Security: Cometh the Hour …
Cold War II has begun. The global architecture has now changed. What can we expect in the security and strategic realms?
HISTORY
Reflections as We Move Into the New Global Architecture
Defense & Foreign Affairs has turned 50. It has lived through a transformative period, but one which serves only as a prelude to a totally new era. Should we be celebrating? Or should we be equipping ourselves for a very different future? The answer is surprisingly positive.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Initial Strategic Lessons of the Russia-Ukraine War
Anything your adversary (a) wants you to do, (b) goads you to do, (c) offers to you as a gift, or (c) says you will do is almost certainly something you do not want to do. The Ukraine conflict was, by April 2022, offering a wide range of strategic, actical, and technological lessons.