STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EN CLAIR | How Turkey, at the Brink, Fights to Save Its Leader
The Turkish National Intelligence Service is the President’s primary power base.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Global Situation Report: Calm in the Eye of the Storm
China’s communists have now placed their fate, and the fate of China’s unwilling people, firmly in the hands of one man. The probable result is the deliberate implosion of mainland China’s economy, a key catalyst in an already unstable global strategic architecture.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
The Eurasian Bloc Escalates its War for the Americas
Cold War II has taken on a more global definition as the Eurasian bloc emerges.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Putin’s Sudden Turning Point
The stark East-West divide — or re-divide — was not irrevocable until now.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Samarkand: A Global Change with Washington Out in the Cold
A subtle shift in the global balance has occurred, without direct US input.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Military Conflict Evolves, and with It, Uncertainty
Armed conflicts are now more likely to occur, but warfighting lessons — from Russia-Ukraine and the PRC-ROC/US — are still incomplete, and outcomes uncertain.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EN CLAIR | The South Pacific: A War to Start All Wars?
Beijing ups its Indo-Pacific thrust while the West diverts its resources into Europe.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
AUKUS: Key Western Alliance for the Coming Decades? And Why it Could Fail
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | While Ukraine Burns, Turkey Ponders a War with Greece
Turkey’s President is now at his most desperate position since he became Prime Minister in 2003, and has a limited timeframe in which to recover his position, either electorally or, due to a national security emergency, before the June 2023 elections.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Immediate Strategic Consequences of the Ukraine War
HISTORY
ESSENTIAL READING | A Ukrainian View
Important New Strategic Literature
Algeria
Air Power Lessons: Evaluating the Ongoing Air Campaign Over Ukraine
It is clear that, well into the Russia-Ukraine war, Moscow’s combat air operations, and Russia’s doctrine and objectives, were not yet understood by Western professional observers.