GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Uzbekistan Becomes a Key Eurasian Pivot
Uzbekistan’s presidential election confirmed the nation’s retention of a strong line to cope with the collapse of neighboring Afghanistan. Tashkent is preparing for the storm.
Afghanistan
AUKUS: The Dysfunctional Birth and Accidental Promise of the West’s New Global Alliance
Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States hastily created a new global alliance, but its founders have different views of alliance priorities. AUKUS might actually work, but the US seems intent on jeopardizing Red Sea security, critical to making the bloc work.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Global Trends: Lostpolitik
Germany’s 2021 elections accelerated the leadership vacuum in the European Union and its growing strategic irrelevance, but equally highlighted the tentative rise of a new global power framework …
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The New “Go” Complexity of the Global “Great Game”
The chess-board of Central Asia’s “Great Game” was transformed into the intense complexity of the ancient Chinese game of Go — Weiqi — when the collapse of the latest phase of the eternal Afghan wars sent the consequences virally through global security frameworks.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Afghanistan’s Centrality to the PRC, Russia, and India
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
ESSENTIAL READING | Cold War Redux?
Important New Strategic Literature
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The RedMed: War and Decline on the Nile
Ethiopia, facing a myriad of strategic domestic and regional challenges, just bought some breathing space. But time is running out to resolve a half-century’s accretion of corruption, cruelty, mismanagement…and international rivalries.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Grand Strategy: Opening Gambits
The set-piece Black Sea confrontation between the Royal Navy and Russia served as a theatrical start of a new era of conflict.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
ESSENTIAL READING | Gaming the Future
Important New Strategic Literature
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Beijing’s Alliance Busting
The People’s Republic of China faces adversaries on all sides. How should it react?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Ethiopia Revives as a Red Sea Power
Put aside age-old conflict-driving myths, and opportunities abound.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Test: How Washington Reacts Determines How the World Moves
And, in a unique period of change, the new US Administration is operating from old strategic perceptions, even as it adopts new technology and doctrine