DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
North Korea (DPRK)
Afghanistan
The Triumph of Belief: Persian Cæsar?
Not just Iran’s Cæsar abroad, Major-General Qasem Soleimani is finally being recognized as Iran’s “Man on Horseback”.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
The Singapore Summit II: The View From Pyongyang
After the Singapore Summit, Pyongyang’s view is that the US and DPRK are again at an impasse, and that the Pompeo visit was a disaster.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
The Singapore Summit I: The View From Beijing
After the Singapore Summit, Beijing’s view is that it has not been moved off course.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Transitions - 06/2018
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
EN CLAIR | Indonesia, Vietnam, India, Malaysia: Russia Insures Against the PRC
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Breaking Stalemates: Current Context
There is no doubt that Iran and North Korea have capable nuclear weapons systems and the means to deliver them. This has created in their leaderships a new-found confidence, which has been expressed in recent actions.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Breaking Stalemates: Israel-Syria
Thoughts on the evolution and near-term impact of nuclear stalemates between the West and “rogue” states as the US withdraws from the “nuclear deal” with Iran. First, the historical lessons learned from the Israeli confrontation of Syria over its nuclear weapons program.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EN CLAIR | Mahathir’s Return in Malaysia Promises Significant Change
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Trump Iran Decision: Yes, But What Does It Really Mean?
US Pres. Donald Trump’s move to pull the US out of the Iran nuclear pact was anticipated, and dire forecasts proliferated as to the impact of such a move. But what, in the end, does it really mean? The pact had not led to a real opening between Iran and the West.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Now It Gets Murky: How the US-DPRK Talks Can Evolve
Suddenly, the lights of the diplomatic theater dim, and a wider cast of players — more than initially indicated — move in the shadows. Until now, it has been a game of relatively honest posturing: brightly lit theater.
PERSONNEL