STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
The Collapse of Wisdom and the Rise of Chaos
Wisdom versus Desire and Intellect; Age versus Youth; Individuals versus Crowds; Country versus Town: This is more than just social media-driven polarization.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Amorphous Warfare: Genocide is Alive and Well in Africa
The Oromo war against Ethiopian nationalists and ethnic Amhara peoples is driven by small extremist groups, supported by foreign governments. But it is virulent and gaining traction. Moreover, its impact is strategic.
Albania
Balkans: Adriatic Sleight of Hand
Montenegro’s “religious freedom” law has become part of a pattern of East-West rivalry which includes US and EU attempts to see Moscow’s influence in Orthodoxy curtailed.
SOVEREIGNTY
A New “East-West” Fault Line
A new strategic framework is possible in which the US could regain some leverage in the Balkans and Eastern Mediterranean. And it could see a resolution of the Kosovo problem which has dogged US credibility in the region since 2008.
SOVEREIGNTY
CURRENT ESTIMATE | A Window of Opportunity Opens for the US in the Balkans
Events have conspired in the Eastern Mediterranean to open a new chapter of strategic opportunity for the United States, just as US-Turkish relations have moved into a profound downward direction.
PERSONNEL