PERSONNEL
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions - 08/2019
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Triumph of Belief: Red Sea Rising
The Red Sea is emerging as a key global strategic dynamic thanks to a revolution begun in Ethiopia. The transformation moves back to a 3,000-year-old pattern, and is far from done.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Breaking Stalemates: Current Context
There is no doubt that Iran and North Korea have capable nuclear weapons systems and the means to deliver them. This has created in their leaderships a new-found confidence, which has been expressed in recent actions.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Now It Gets Murky: How the US-DPRK Talks Can Evolve
Suddenly, the lights of the diplomatic theater dim, and a wider cast of players — more than initially indicated — move in the shadows. Until now, it has been a game of relatively honest posturing: brightly lit theater.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Great Game: The DPRK-US Minuette
The impending Trump-Kim talks, as forecast a year ago, provided the first challenge of global consequence to the strategic rise of the PRC. Beijing has already begun to respond. There are more than two dancers in this minuette.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Strategic Trajectories: The Emerging Indo-Pacific Quad Has Shadow Alliances Around It
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Is the Iranian Empire Finally Re-Emerging?
A revived Persian Empire is within Iran’s grasp. The mullahs’ Tehran, which had long resisted the call of traditional Persian geopolitical thinking, now seems to be embracing Persian geopolitics...
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Collapse of the Kingdom: MbS Adds Accelerant to the Saudi Fire
SOVEREIGNTY
EARLY WARNING | The Forgotten Do Not Forget
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Ankara and Abuja: Dancing Around Terrorism Issues
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE