STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Global Architecture: Xi in Arabia
It was more consequential than Washington realized. But now the battle has been joined.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Samarkand: A Global Change with Washington Out in the Cold
A subtle shift in the global balance has occurred, without direct US input.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EN CLAIR | Return of Free-Form Strategic Dynamics in the Middle East, Northern Tier, and Africa
Coups, as a form of “regime change”, are once again “permissible” in the greater Middle East and Africa as out-of-region powers lose traction. But then what?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The New “Go” Complexity of the Global “Great Game”
The chess-board of Central Asia’s “Great Game” was transformed into the intense complexity of the ancient Chinese game of Go — Weiqi — when the collapse of the latest phase of the eternal Afghan wars sent the consequences virally through global security frameworks.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The RedMed: War and Decline on the Nile
Ethiopia, facing a myriad of strategic domestic and regional challenges, just bought some breathing space. But time is running out to resolve a half-century’s accretion of corruption, cruelty, mismanagement…and international rivalries.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Turkey, Iran, Biden Push Against Impact of Abraham Accords
The Palestinians — the PA and HAMAS — as well as Turkey, Iran, and Qatar had no option but to return to a state of open warfare against Israel if they were to regain the strategic high ground, lost as a result of the 2020 Abraham Accords.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Libya: Working to a Doomed Solution
Why are there no real Libyan interests in the proposed Libyan solution?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Private Military Contracting: Outsourcing Warfare
Private sector military forces have again become a norm of national security for many governments. But, as history shows, the costs may be higher than desired.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | US Moves on Taiwan Claw Back Key Strategic Options
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
The Middle East: Abraham Changes Strategic Realities
A changed Middle East has emerged from the Abraham Accord. Who is ready?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
2021: Return of the Leaders
The great malaise of 2021 will be the year of opportunity for leaders to make their mark.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS