GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Juggernaut: US Politics at Work
A US presidential election of unprecedented opacity may lead to a Clinton presidency of continued strategic decline. Assuming she wins.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Turkey’s Putsch: The Broader Context Shows it as a Catalyst
Ankara has placed itself deliberately on an all-or-nothing path which envisages only Turkish strategic dominance, lightly disguised by attempts to diplomatically hold the international community at bay as it prepares its ground.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Strategic Trajectories of Change in Iran and Saudi
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Terrain in the Turkey-Kurdish War
The Kurds are a key element in the current Syria-Turkey conflict, but remain little understood by international observers, with regard to their areas of diversity and unity. Here are some of the factors.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Libya’s Gathering and Critical Jihad
What are Libya’s, and the international community’s, options in the face of the Islamic Caliphate’s growing rôle in Libya? The pace of the conflict there has broadened following a “mega-merger” of jihadist groups under the Caliphate’s banner.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Turkey: Poised at the Abyss
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Libya at a Potential Tipping Point, Against the Jihadists
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Turkey’s Gamble to Save Itself
Turkey considers direct military confrontation in Syria as Ankara stares strategic defeat in the face.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The RedMed: All Change, Again, on the Red Sea
The People’s Republic of China begins its Djibouti troop deployment as base construction accelerates; meanwhile, Djibouti builds on its rapprochement with Riyadh.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Transformative Global Strategic Trends: Their Impact on National Security in the Coming Decades
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Syria, Russia Dossier: Russia’s War Against DI’ISH
How Russia has planned and executed its expanded war against DI’ISH and the jihadist movements in Syria, and how Turkey and the US have been responding.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Saudi Arabia Throws Down the Gauntlet, But to Whom?
Saudi Arabia’s theater of mass executions on January 2, 2016, was designed to reinforce the authority of its leadership. It may bolster short-term objectives, but it also ended chances for an early end to the Yemen war; it further damaged relations with the US; and it bolstered Turkey’s and Iran’s…