STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Triumph of Belief: Red Sea Rising
The Red Sea is emerging as a key global strategic dynamic thanks to a revolution begun in Ethiopia. The transformation moves back to a 3,000-year-old pattern, and is far from done.
Afghanistan
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Beijing, Tehran: Suzerainty, New Colonialism, and Crime
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Britain Comes Home to the World, But Where Is Its Plan?
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 04/2018
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Now It Gets Murky: How the US-DPRK Talks Can Evolve
Suddenly, the lights of the diplomatic theater dim, and a wider cast of players — more than initially indicated — move in the shadows. Until now, it has been a game of relatively honest posturing: brightly lit theater.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Real Prospect Exists for Major Instability in Southern Africa
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Great Game: The DPRK-US Minuette
The impending Trump-Kim talks, as forecast a year ago, provided the first challenge of global consequence to the strategic rise of the PRC. Beijing has already begun to respond. There are more than two dancers in this minuette.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 02/208
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Last Chance for the ANC?
The removal of Pres. Jacob Zuma in South Africa was a pre-emptive coup by Cyril Ramaphosa to reverse the ANC’s fortunes. But will it work?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Strategic Trajectories: The Emerging Indo-Pacific Quad Has Shadow Alliances Around It
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR