SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
War as a (Fatal) Diversion From Reality
Egypt has been in a proxy war with Ethiopia. Ethiopia failed to grasp this, because war would seem fatal for both sides. Then Egypt stepped back from the brink.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Egypt has been in a proxy war with Ethiopia. Ethiopia failed to grasp this, because war would seem fatal for both sides. Then Egypt stepped back from the brink.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Does Xi Jinping move outward, inward, or both? And to what effect? And, after that, what?
PERSONNEL
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Beijing’s new war against the US and the West could be won or lost before kinetic actions get serious
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
In the US, a Democratic Party presidential election victory by its candidate Biden over Trump in Nov. 2020 would be a victory for the CPC, which might then see US challenges to the PRC once again recede. But, even then, could the CPC recover momentum? Could the US? Trend patterns are being changed.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
PRC's Ambassador to South Africa issued a 7-page statement to Eswatini demanding that it change its diplomatic allegiance from the ROC or face total isolation from the African and world community. Beijing is now lashing out to subdue what is seen as a mounting global repudiation of Beijing.
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
PERSONNEL
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Presidential elections in Taiwan repudiated PRC pressure, just as protests in Hong Kong have done. Beijing hoped 2019 would be the year that all significant opposition to its strategic rise would be silenced.
CRIME & CORRUPTION
Collapse in South Africa would have a significant impact on all Southern African regional states and societies, but it would also impact the global trading community and the guarantee of Atlantic-to-Indian Ocean maritime security.