HISTORY
HISTORY
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Private sector military forces have again become a norm of national security for many governments. But, as history shows, the costs may be higher than desired.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Today, strategic infrastructure is vulnerable to all threats. Gaining control of populations may be the first goal of 21st Century total war before hostilities begin, but destroying enemy infrastructure is the first goal once shots are fired, or e-fired.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The concept of the “Westphalian state” — the modern nation-state — has been evolving since 1648, but will we soon see a significant new way in which nationalism and sovereignty are perceived and structured? Somehow, the nation-state does not seem set to disappear.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Could the restoration of aspects of a more traditional structure help stabilize and inspire Russian governance? Or, indeed, all governments?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
A changed Middle East has emerged from the Abraham Accord. Who is ready?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
The great malaise of 2021 will be the year of opportunity for leaders to make their mark.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
The burgeoning Moscow-Beijing-Tehran friendship spells a weakening of the impact of US sanctions. Tehran’s relief from sanctions in the short-term could lead indirectly to the PRC’s long-term control over Iranian ports and the Strait of Hormuz, cementing Beijing’s footprint in the region.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Armenia’s brief new war with Azerbaijan changed everything for both states, and for Nagorno-Karabakh, but it also substantially altered the Eurasian balance.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS