GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
War in a Time of Weakness
The 2020 Fear Pandemic breakpoint has moved the world from “strategic competition” to semi-formal hostilities. It is now about strategic management in a period of economic and population decline.
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
China’s Communist Party Plans its COVID-19 Recovery
HISTORY
ESSENTIAL READING | Rethinking Everything
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EN CLAIR | Iran May Have Reached a Strategic Plateau with Soleimani’s Death
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
The Balkan War II: UAVs Against Serbia
The US drone design pattern worked well for a low-threat air defense environment. Did the US learn enough from its use of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs: drones) in the 1999 war — Operation Allied Force — against Serbia?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Pivot: Did NATO’s Serbian War Set the Stage for the Decline of Western Power?
Is the US only now starting to regain some of an element of strategic military impetus after the peaking of its capabilities and prestige became evident with the Clinton War against Serbia in 1999? The war spurred Beijing and Moscow into reviewing their defenses.
CRIME & CORRUPTION
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Coronavirus, Corruption: Africa’s Inheritance from Beijing
A staff estimate on a topic of current significance.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 02/2020
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
ESSENTIAL READING | Cyber Futures
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EN CLAIR | Uzbekistan’s Most Significant Strategic Shift Since the Soviet Era
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
What Happens in the Vacuum After the Passing of Sultan Qaboos of Oman?
Oman will remain a pillar of stability because of Qaboos’ legacy, but he will be profoundly missed.