HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Post-COVID-19: Re-Thinking Indonesia
Afghanistan
Beijing’s “Unavoidable” War: The 21st Century’s Total War Has Begun
The new form of “total war” which Beijing has begun is more comprehensive and amorphous than any strategic engagement seen thus far in history. And Beijing has learned from history: direct military engagement is, of necessity, a very secondary component. This is a war which Pres.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Turkey Attempts Stand-Alone Power Status, But…
Erdogan is rapidly running out of options, and allies. His only firm ally is Qatar; his relationships with Russia, Iran, and China are hedged with mutual distrust and caution. Indeed, the question should increasingly be asked: Does Erdogan actually have a power base absent MIT?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Outlook Post-COVID-19: Re-Thinking Iran
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
War in a Time of Weakness
The 2020 Fear Pandemic breakpoint has moved the world from “strategic competition” to semi-formal hostilities. It is now about strategic management in a period of economic and population decline.
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
China’s Communist Party Plans its COVID-19 Recovery
HISTORY
ESSENTIAL READING | Rethinking Everything
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EN CLAIR | Iran May Have Reached a Strategic Plateau with Soleimani’s Death
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
The Balkan War II: UAVs Against Serbia
The US drone design pattern worked well for a low-threat air defense environment. Did the US learn enough from its use of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs: drones) in the 1999 war — Operation Allied Force — against Serbia?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Pivot: Did NATO’s Serbian War Set the Stage for the Decline of Western Power?
Is the US only now starting to regain some of an element of strategic military impetus after the peaking of its capabilities and prestige became evident with the Clinton War against Serbia in 1999? The war spurred Beijing and Moscow into reviewing their defenses.
CRIME & CORRUPTION
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Coronavirus, Corruption: Africa’s Inheritance from Beijing
A staff estimate on a topic of current significance.