STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
HISTORY
ESSENTIAL READING | Looking at the Classic Autocracies ...
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
Risk Averse? Risk Ignorant?
Calculating risk, opportunity, and context: how the failure of our policy tools contributes to the current collapse of the strategic balance. Changing times mean changing tools.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EN CLAIR | Is the Ethiopian War Saga Ending, or Just Beginning?
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
Awakening From Dreams: Strategic Infrastructure Plans Which May Disappear
Great plans to transform global supply chain dominance have largely been destroyed by economic and political collapse, from Beijing to most Western capitals.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 07/2024
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
How Long Can the Sino-Russian Entente Last This Time?
The new Russo-North Korean “treaty” is designed to help Moscow and Pyongyang protect themselves from Beijing, for sound strategic reasons. The view that it was all about the US or South Korea misses the point, and the message for the future.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Scramble for Antarctica
Barriers are coming down to unilateral power projection around the world as treaties and prestige decline for major powers. Now, Antarctica becomes truly an area of competition.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Persia Redux? The Moving Finger Writes
And having writ moves on…Iran now seems poised for a new era. But what is it?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Türkiye, Belarus Abandon CFE: The Treaties Crumble
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
ESSENTIAL READING | Evaluating Warfare Through a Recent Lens
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Iranian-Israeli-Russian-US Brinkmanship Pays Off?
The political theater of the Iranian mass air attack on Israel “satisfied honor” and possibly highlighted the reality that Iran could be split from the principal sponsors of HAMAS: Türkiye and Qatar. A line of communication seems to have been established.