SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | North Caucasus Takes Shape as an Early Obama Target
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
EARLY WARNING | Survival is Fundamental; Only Methods Change
Gregory R. Copley, in the Fifth Decade of “Defense & Foreign Affairs”
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 12/2012
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
P3R: Projection, Protection, Policing, Resilience
Gregory R. Copley, at the Fortieth Anniversary of “Defense & Foreign Affairs”
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Nature and Cyber Warfare: Hurricane Sandy Showed the Vulnerability of Cities to Cyber Threats
Cyber threats now have potentially greater destructive power than nuclear weapons
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Turkey Stumbles, But Washington Pushed
The mid-October 2012 Turkish interception of an alleged Syrian military shipment was intended to build momentum for the case to intervene in Syria. But it backfired, and may have damaged US-Turkish trust, and given the upper hand to Moscow.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Changes in Latitudes; Changes in Attitudes
Changes in the Global Strategic Architecture and their Ramifications for Sea Lane Security, with Particular Emphasis on the South China Sea Issue.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Global Strategic Architecture: A Very Different Global Pattern
Economic, social, political, and demographic changes are key drivers in what is a transforming global strategic architecture. This will necessitate a revision of existing power projection, trade, and intelligence priorities, structures, and doctrine to meet the emerging realities.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Africa and the Middle East: The Emperor’s Ghost
The Red Sea and Africa’s north-east move deeper into an era of great change, with global ramifications as energy acquisition patterns also transform, impacting the relative geopolitical centrality of the region.
CRIME & CORRUPTION
Iran at Its Strategic Juncture
Iran, no less than the European Union or the United States, faces a series of problems which place it at a critical strategic junction. It now faces urgent challenges, the response to which will determine its viability — even its survival — over the coming decades.
RESOURCES
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Greece’s New Centrality — and Dilemmas — in Energy
An estimate of an area of key current significance — From Our Balkans Bureau