GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
The World Island: Eurasia’s Re-Emerging Heartland
Why Uzbekistan’s new constitutional referendum was globally significant, and why Central Asia is the key to the emerging global strategic architecture.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Xi: With Unlimited Power Comes Unlimited Challenge
Right now, defeating the US and the West may be far from Xi’s mind, even though he could not say it. Xi has more important concerns. The threat from the West is disappearing, anyway, because of its own decline. What will the post-China and post-Western world look like? And when will we see it?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
ESSENTIAL READING | Time to Revisit the Third Offset
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
EN CLAIR | An African Church Schism Becomes a Global Trigger
Ethiopia’s next leader could create the grand coalition of the Red Sea.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
A Wargame Postulating an Initial “Battle of Taiwan”
The Washington think-tank, the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), recently held a revealing wargaming exercise on a PRC invasion of Taiwan.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Beijing’s Eurasia Strategy May Deliver Beijing its Coup de Main
Xi Jinping, facing a collapsing PRC domestic economy and food supply, could broker a Ukraine war peace which would bring Ukraine back into the Eurasian fold. After all, he has now completed a major consolidation of influence over Iran and Saudi Arabia, supported by Iraq and Oman.
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
ESSENTIAL READING | Chips as the Main Meal
Important New Strategic Literature
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EN CLAIR | Türkiye’s Implosion and Isolation From the West
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The New Middle East and Africa: The Red Sea Change of Command
Moscow has moved rapidly to rebuild its influence in the Horn of Africa — and Africa generally — to position itself for “Cold War II”, and Washington is attempting to catch up.
Argentina
When the Balloon Goes Up …
Balloon warfare has been advancing for years. Now, a public outcry at PRC balloon ops has generated a strategic watershed, damaging to Beijing.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Elections Which Mark 2023 as a Key Year
The reality is that elections, even in small nation-states, can have global consequences.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE