DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Short-term, transactional deals now emerging may ensure that the global transformation could be less decisive, less dramatic, and less effective than anticipated. But they may also be less disruptive, carrying many of the bad habits and ills of the past into the future.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Pres. Bio is increasingly turning his attempts to retain power into an ethnic civil war.
PERSONNEL
PERSONNEL
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Ethiopia’s next leader could create the grand coalition of the Red Sea.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Important New Strategic Literature
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Mali’s rejection of outside influences spelled a major reverse in Africa for France, the West, and ECOWAS, but it brought no joy for Beijing, or for regional or global governance.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The Oromo war against Ethiopian nationalists and ethnic Amhara peoples is driven by small extremist groups, supported by foreign governments. But it is virulent and gaining traction. Moreover, its impact is strategic.
CRIME & CORRUPTION
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR