GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Juggernaut: US Politics at Work
A US presidential election of unprecedented opacity may lead to a Clinton presidency of continued strategic decline. Assuming she wins.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Turkey’s Putsch: The Broader Context Shows it as a Catalyst
Ankara has placed itself deliberately on an all-or-nothing path which envisages only Turkish strategic dominance, lightly disguised by attempts to diplomatically hold the international community at bay as it prepares its ground.
SOVEREIGNTY
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Islands and Highlands of a Dynamic Red Sea
PERSONNEL
Strategic Biographies: Key Individuals Currently in the Spotlight
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Turkey’s Trident: Erdoğan’s Moves to Dominate the Black Sea
Any pretense that Turkey is not at war with Russia, or that it does not have strategic ambitions from Western Europe to China, are being dispelled as the Turkish President creates Sunni jihadi groups and military alliances which directly challenge NATO and China.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Strategic Trajectories of Change in Iran and Saudi
Austria
Key Transitions - 06/2016
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EN CLAIR | Maneuvering Continues in the Lower Red Sea
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Terrorism: The Jihad Escalates In Europe
But it’s not necessarily driven just by DI’ISH, the Islamic State. It has its core within Europe.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | East of Suez, the New Great Game Breaks Into the Open
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Alliance-Building in the RedMed
Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey have been at the forefront of attempts to build new realities on the ground in the Red Sea-Eastern Mediterranean areas. But there are many sub-sets and contradictions at play, including significant underlying rivalries.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR