GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Nigeria’s Leadership Crisis is Coming to a Head
An estimate of an area of key current significance
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Complexity: the Yemen Fixation - Craving Clarity
Media, and political, hysteria over Yemen obfuscates a broader, deeper strategic matrix of long-term importance. Is the Western demand for simplicity, and the refusal to embrace complex context, at the core of Western strategic failure?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Global Strategic Trends: Options in the Indian Ocean Century
How do nations move, “post-Afghanistan”, post-superpowers, and in the Indian Ocean Century?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Saudi Arabia and Yemen Fight “a Global War” Against Iran
An estimate of an area of key current significance.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Eurasia: A Byzantine Arabesque?
Embrace the Complexity of the Caucasus, the Middle East, and Central, South, and East Asia — and the Impact of Western or Asian Economic-Political Trends — or Miss the Plot
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The 1992 Outlook: A New Era of Conflict
This study, by Gregory Copley, appeared in Defense & Foreign Affairs in May 1992. It noted, in that 1992 report, that contradictory trends and the revival of history as a strategic factor were among the significant indicators of the new era of global conflict then beginning.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The Middle East: A Spy Story
The Pivotal Rôle of Abu-Abdallah al-Muhajer in Shaping a New Phase in the Palestinian and Anti-Israeli Conflicts
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Nigerian Presidency Change at a Time of Energy Crisis?
An estimate of an area of key current significance.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | President Hosni Mubarak’s Fateful Pilgrimages
An estimate of an area of key current significance.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The US and the Northern Tier: Declaring Victory, and Going Home
The Pre-Military Phase of the US Withdrawal from Afghanistan Has Begun
SOVEREIGNTY
Somaliland and the US “Kosovo Syndrome”
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE