SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Unready Now; Uncertain Future
Economic, social, and military instabilities escalate, but readiness to face them evaporates.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | The Endless Saga of Balkan Mischief
Washington and London are taking advantage of the distraction of the Russia-Ukraine conflict to maneuver against Russia’s allies — or, more logically, Russia’s perceived allies — in the Balkans. Washington and London are working to broaden the proxy war against Russia.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Iran: Death Before Disorder
Iran's clerics are suppressing protests with unprecedented vigor. But then what?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Horn of Africa - War is Over: Long Live the War?
Part of the great war in Ethiopia may be over. But another part is still virulent.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Military Doctrine: “Drones” in Modern Warfare
Unmanned aerial vehicles help shape battlefields. But how much more do we know?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Moving to the Major Phase of the PRC’s “New Civil War”
The civil war within the party moves into a new phase of suppression of Xi’s opponents and the broader public. The damage to the international economy will be immense. The cost to the Chinese people will be immeasurably more severe.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Iran: Is This the Time When Change Will Come? Or Not?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
ESSENTIAL READING | Paul Kennedy Endures
Important New Strategic Literature
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Unrest in Nigeria: A SitRep
The proliferation of insurrectionist and criminal threats has pushed Nigeria to a decisive, but by no means irretrievable, point. Its options, however, are likely to become more clear after the 2023 election.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Southern Africa Instability Now at Dangerous Levels
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Military Conflict Evolves, and with It, Uncertainty
Armed conflicts are now more likely to occur, but warfighting lessons — from Russia-Ukraine and the PRC-ROC/US — are still incomplete, and outcomes uncertain.