DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Alliance Fracture is Now Global
It’s not just NATO; it’s the SCO, BRICS, and the Quad. And what of the UN?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
One BRIC at a Time
The Africa-Middle East space and the implications of the BRICS expansion and rising instability: it’s all about perception, and perception counts.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Can the BRICS Syndicate Finally Gain Strategic Traction?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EN CALIR | Has Africa Abandoned Hope For Democracy?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Undoing Nixon in the Mid-East
The overthrow of Richard Nixon led post-Soviet Russia to dominance in the Middle East.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
How the Prestige and Trust Deficit Impacts the Strategic Equation
Whole of society warfare — total war — must, to be successful, be conducted under an umbrella psychological strategy. This is not just “information warfare”: it goes to the content of all the messaging which generates trust or distrust, confidence or defeatism.
SOVEREIGNTY
A New Middle East Has Emerged
It is an all-new greater Middle East, and the locals mostly now answer to themselves.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Türkiye: The Master of Fake Provocations Rises Again
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Iran: Death Before Disorder
Iran's clerics are suppressing protests with unprecedented vigor. But then what?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Alliances: Know When to Fold 'em
We cling to old alliances as we cling to childhood blankets, and treat them just as badly. But do we understand them, and their finite lifespans and purposes?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Xi Consolidates Power with Deliberately Contradictory Moves
Xi Jinping needed, once the Party Congress was over, to re-assert calm over his domestic and international arenas, but there seems little he can do to blunt the PRC’s worsening economic situation and accompany-ing social unrest.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
ESSENTIAL READING | Trust? In South Asia?
Important New Strategic Literature