STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The RedMed: All Change, Again, on the Red Sea
The People’s Republic of China begins its Djibouti troop deployment as base construction accelerates; meanwhile, Djibouti builds on its rapprochement with Riyadh.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Saudi Arabia Throws Down the Gauntlet, But to Whom?
Saudi Arabia’s theater of mass executions on January 2, 2016, was designed to reinforce the authority of its leadership. It may bolster short-term objectives, but it also ended chances for an early end to the Yemen war; it further damaged relations with the US; and it bolstered Turkey’s and Iran’s…
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Does the US Have a Middle East Strategy Going Forward?
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 12/2015
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Controlling Crisis in the Horn of Africa and the Red Sea
Does “peacekeeping”, as it is presently construed by the United Nations concept, really provide long-term resolution of the problems which caused the conflicts? What are our objectives? Have we even defined them?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | The Saudi Coalition Moves Its War Across the Red Sea
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
RedMed: The Global Nexus at the Suez, Red Sea, and Horn of Africa
Why the RedMed Region is Becoming Increasingly Central to the Emerging Global Strategic Framework
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Red Sea and Indian Ocean: Fishing in Troubled Waters
Djibouti takes center stage as Horn, Arabian Peninsula, and the muddied waters of the Red Sea come “into play”. Just as the Suez Canal doubles its capacity, Iran enjoys new freedom of operations, and Beijing begins consolidating its reach into strategic bases in the region.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Obama’s Africa Turn
After his successful achievement of an accord with Iran, US Pres. Barack Obama belatedly starts moves to regain African ground from the PRC. Is it too little, too late?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Now Can Cyrus and Darius Be Recalled - The Persians, Not the Clerics, Begin to Revive
The July 14, 2015, major power accord with Iran was portrayed as the deliverance of the laws of the international community upon Iran. But it has delivered more consequences than any of the parties could have considered.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Turkey Plunges Toward … What?
The Turkish Government is pushing forward on a number of key strategic fronts, but there is real ambiguity — even within the country — about its national goals. And its prospects for stability and territorial integrity.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The End of the Arab-Israeli War, But Not the Fighting
It is possible to see that the “Arab-Israeli war” will only be sustained in that name by propaganda: the reality is that possibly only one Arab state — Qatar — is committed fully to the war, while HAMAS in the Palestinian Authority is also implacable.