STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
What Does Beijing Do Now?
Presidential elections in Taiwan repudiated PRC pressure, just as protests in Hong Kong have done. Beijing hoped 2019 would be the year that all significant opposition to its strategic rise would be silenced.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | South China Sea Clashes Inch the Balance Against Beijing
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Bolton Effect: Then, Now, and Next
SOVEREIGNTY
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Brexit: Hysteria Continues to Prevail Over Contextual Views
Indicators of emerging patterns of global significance
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Current Estimate: The Hanoi US-DPRK Summit May Be Xi Jinping’s Victory
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Korea and the Return of China’s Tributary States
The Forthcoming Struggles and Wars, According to Xi Jinping
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
On Which Our Fates Depend
Are the 2 emerging global pillars more at risk from themselves than from each other? Are we seeing the re-emergence of the world division into the maritime states versus the heartland powers? Could the PRC become the first true global heartland/maritime power? What are the three overriding factors?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Now It Gets Murky: How the US-DPRK Talks Can Evolve
Suddenly, the lights of the diplomatic theater dim, and a wider cast of players — more than initially indicated — move in the shadows. Until now, it has been a game of relatively honest posturing: brightly lit theater.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Great Game: The DPRK-US Minuette
The impending Trump-Kim talks, as forecast a year ago, provided the first challenge of global consequence to the strategic rise of the PRC. Beijing has already begun to respond. There are more than two dancers in this minuette.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Strategic Trajectories: The Emerging Indo-Pacific Quad Has Shadow Alliances Around It
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES