STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 07/2022
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
AUKUS: Key Western Alliance for the Coming Decades? And Why it Could Fail
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | While Ukraine Burns, Turkey Ponders a War with Greece
Turkey’s President is now at his most desperate position since he became Prime Minister in 2003, and has a limited timeframe in which to recover his position, either electorally or, due to a national security emergency, before the June 2023 elections.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Immediate Strategic Consequences of the Ukraine War
HISTORY
ESSENTIAL READING | A Ukrainian View
Important New Strategic Literature
Algeria
Air Power Lessons: Evaluating the Ongoing Air Campaign Over Ukraine
It is clear that, well into the Russia-Ukraine war, Moscow’s combat air operations, and Russia’s doctrine and objectives, were not yet understood by Western professional observers.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Future Security: Cometh the Hour …
Cold War II has begun. The global architecture has now changed. What can we expect in the security and strategic realms?
HISTORY
Reflections as We Move Into the New Global Architecture
Defense & Foreign Affairs has turned 50. It has lived through a transformative period, but one which serves only as a prelude to a totally new era. Should we be celebrating? Or should we be equipping ourselves for a very different future? The answer is surprisingly positive.
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
The Collapse of Wisdom and the Rise of Chaos
Wisdom versus Desire and Intellect; Age versus Youth; Individuals versus Crowds; Country versus Town: This is more than just social media-driven polarization.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Indonesia’s Uncertainties Pique Beijing’s Hopes
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EN CLAIR | Ethiopians Have “Become Lost”: What’s Next?
Could a military intervention be the only answer if the system becomes more stressed, and external pressures threaten the break-up of Ethiopia?