GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
War in a Time of Weakness
The 2020 Fear Pandemic breakpoint has moved the world from “strategic competition” to semi-formal hostilities. It is now about strategic management in a period of economic and population decline.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
The COVID-19 Wars: Strategic Warfare Amid Chaos, Threat, Opportunity
“[T]he only thing we have to fear is fear itself — nameless, unreasoning, unjustified terror which paralyzes needed efforts to convert retreat into advance.” — Inaugural address of US Pres. Franklin D. Roosevelt, March 4, 1933.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Pivot: Did NATO’s Serbian War Set the Stage for the Decline of Western Power?
Is the US only now starting to regain some of an element of strategic military impetus after the peaking of its capabilities and prestige became evident with the Clinton War against Serbia in 1999? The war spurred Beijing and Moscow into reviewing their defenses.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Intelligence Sharing: Five Eyes Mark II?
The UKUSA Accords have essentially “commoditized” intelligence product and its exchange between its signatories. What is necessary to restore the strategic aspects of this, the key Western alliance structure?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
What Does Beijing Do Now?
Presidential elections in Taiwan repudiated PRC pressure, just as protests in Hong Kong have done. Beijing hoped 2019 would be the year that all significant opposition to its strategic rise would be silenced.
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
State of the World: Parlous, Transforming, Yet in Some Ways Stabilizing, Optimistic
The optimism may be hard to find, but the fact that crisis is now clearly upon us gives a certain clarity.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | South China Sea Clashes Inch the Balance Against Beijing
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 12/2019
SOVEREIGNTY
EN CLAIR | Beijing Reaps the African Whirlwind
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Next-Gen Strategic Warfare
The Middle East is becoming a key node in the gradual introduction of “next-generation warfare”, as asymmetric confrontation necessitates a greater move toward technology-led Information Dominance doctrines.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Nuclear Powers in the Act of Colliding
Iran now considers war against Israel to be feasible and winnable…and Israel responds