SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Washington and Seoul: Is it Over?
Beijing, Moscow, Pyongyang, and Seoul now feel back in charge of the Korean Peninsula dynamic. Where does that leave Washington?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | US's Turkey Divorce Complicated by Qatar, Iran, Syria, Russia
The strategic path along which the US and Turkey are traveling has an element of fatalism about it, given that each side fears the divorce for a range of different reasons.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Ethiopia Moves to Re-Establish Itself as a Red Sea Power
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EN CLAIR | Indonesia Moves to a Bigger Stage, Despite Ongoing Domestic Issues
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
EN CLAIR | Indonesia, Vietnam, India, Malaysia: Russia Insures Against the PRC
SOVEREIGNTY
On the Matter of Constitutional and Institutional Choice
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Breaking Stalemates: Current Context
There is no doubt that Iran and North Korea have capable nuclear weapons systems and the means to deliver them. This has created in their leaderships a new-found confidence, which has been expressed in recent actions.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Britain Comes Home to the World, But Where Is Its Plan?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Now It Gets Murky: How the US-DPRK Talks Can Evolve
Suddenly, the lights of the diplomatic theater dim, and a wider cast of players — more than initially indicated — move in the shadows. Until now, it has been a game of relatively honest posturing: brightly lit theater.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Great Game: The DPRK-US Minuette
The impending Trump-Kim talks, as forecast a year ago, provided the first challenge of global consequence to the strategic rise of the PRC. Beijing has already begun to respond. There are more than two dancers in this minuette.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS