CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Is the Craving for Order Over Chaos Destroying Long-Term Strategic Logic?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Invisible Hand of 21st Century Strategic Warfare
The US continues to think of information operations today more in terms of the facilitating technologies, rather than the manipulation of social patterns and the underlying cultural patterns which shape governments and strategic outcomes.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Is the New Strategic Framework Being Built on a “Balance of Ignorance”?
There are many in policy positions who — in all ages — are happy to dispense with grounded, independent, and deep, objective analysis. They want what they want, and they do not seek countervailing arguments to deter them. But it hardly plays into the goal of long-term societal success.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Assessing Long-Term Threats and Trends
The most important, least invested, security priority
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
EARLY WARNING | Iran: The Bitterness or Emptiness of Whatever is Defined as Victory
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
EARLY WARNING | We Seek Victory, But What Does It Look Like?
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
EARLY WARNING | The Tragic, de facto Failure of Material Progress
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
Strategic Trends: We, the Imperialists!
We have abused the language and words of power. Our glib misuse of them hurts us and obscures the lessons of history at a time when we desperately need guidelines.
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
EARLY WARNING | Curfew Tolls the Knell of Parting Day
Have I not told you, these recent years, that the cycle of great civilizational change is again upon us all? That, in the familiarity of days passing into days, the certainty of our lifetimes is being brought into a new world?
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
CURRENT ESTIMATE | 2026: The Consequential Years Gather Momentum
It is not as though 2025 was an inconsequential year. Many strategic trends came into focus, particularly around the (finally) visible collapse of the People’s Republic of China (PRC). But 2026 will see the clarification of even more events of global consequence.
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
Universal Unrest and its Meaning
The crowds are in the streets, everywhere, and in different forms, showing signs of fatigue, anger, despair, and more. How does this impact policymaking, economics, and defense decision-making? And how can we think about, and cope, with this phenomenon?