STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Samarkand: A Global Change with Washington Out in the Cold
A subtle shift in the global balance has occurred, without direct US input.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Xi’s Gamble Becomes Precarious, but Where Is the West?
Western leaderships, by missing the cue on the PRC, have drawn down military stores, particularly operational ammunition levels, to dangerous levels to help Ukraine fight Russia. Forces in the Indo-Pacific have become depleted and vulnerable.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Beijing's Indo-Pacific Arc of Power Crystallizes
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EN CALIR | The End of “Business as Usual”
The Ukraine war has helped crystallize a confluence of negative strategic trends.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Initial Strategic Lessons of the Russia-Ukraine War
Anything your adversary (a) wants you to do, (b) goads you to do, (c) offers to you as a gift, or (c) says you will do is almost certainly something you do not want to do. The Ukraine conflict was, by April 2022, offering a wide range of strategic, actical, and technological lessons.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Under the Ukraine Cloud, PRC Makes First Challenge to AUKUS
The Solomons and Kiribati moves place the PRC into the South Pacific, beyond the First Island Chain. This would inhibit AUKUS’ ability to protect Taiwan in the event of war. It would also put the PRC astride the junction of major undersea comms cables near the Solomons.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
ESSENTIAL READING | Zero-Day
AFRICA
The PuYi Syndrome
Washington, the Americas, and the Tragedy of PuYi: How the US awakes and finds itself isolated in its own region.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EN CLAIR | Australia Commits to Further Global Projection
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Beijing Woos Washington Back to the Atlantic
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Jakarta: Balancing, Yet Moving
Indonesia's movement toward greater regional economic and strategic power is showing success, and it is occurring with excruciating care to balance its position between superpowers.
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
In Memoriam: Losing a Part of Oneself
Yossef Bodansky, a uniquely talented and courageous strategic thinker, leaves us