DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Has the US Offensive Peaked?
In an evolving period of transformation, exacerbated by US global initiatives, everything has changed, but nothing has been resolved.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Much Rides on the Success of the New Colombian Government
A trend toward moderate, pro-US governments is emerging in South America. Will it be enough to ensure President Trump’s desire for a Washington-dominated Western Hemisphere?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Canada’s Pivotal Role in the New Indo-Pacific
Canada is emerging as a major new factor in the Indo-Pacific as well as in polar strategic realities, particularly since the forced separation of Canada from its stagnant, seven decade-old security situation subordinate to the US.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Strategic Messaging: The Frequent Point of Failure
Has the US’ patchy record in strategic messaging robbed it of the consistent strategic progress it could have had, and denied it the support of various societies around the world? This may be coming to a head in 2026. But first, how do we define “strategic messaging” in the 21st Century?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Invisible Hand of 21st Century Strategic Warfare
The US continues to think of information operations today more in terms of the facilitating technologies, rather than the manipulation of social patterns and the underlying cultural patterns which shape governments and strategic outcomes.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Why the Fighting in Ethiopia Matters
Ethiopia’s so-called civil war is very much a proxy war which is poised to transform the strategic balance in the greater Middle East, reducing the power of Egypt and the Suez Canal, Saudi Arabia, Iran, and the Persian Gulf’s Hormuz choke-point.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
What Happens if Xi Outlasts Trump?
For the CCP — as with the Revolutionary Guard leaders in Tehran — the great victory would be to merely survive the Trump era.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
The Next Strategic Advantage: the Restoration of Literacy
Perhaps the “experiment” in universal, forced literacy, has been a failure, an historical blip. Literacy is in retreat because of technology and because inquiring minds challenge leadership patterns. Yet intellectual capacity— signified by literacy— determines strategic success. What is to be done?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
A Modestly-Growing Australia is Losing its Regional Security Dominance
Significant improvements in the sophistication and general capabilities of South-East Asian nations, such as Indonesia and Malaysia, have relegated Australia’s historical strategic and miliary dominance of the region to a reduced significance.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Assessing Long-Term Threats and Trends
The most important, least invested, security priority
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
UK Strategic Recovery: A Long and Winding Road
How will Keir Starmer's resignation change the UK’s strategic direction? And, if so, in what way, and when?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Xi Jinping in Pyongyang: The Tumult and the Shouting Dies
Xi Jinping hoped to rebuild his fortunes with his visit to North Korea, and state visits from Trump and Putin, but there is a real sense of emptiness after all the fanfare.