SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EN CLAIR | Markale in Damascus? Islamists Used “Self-Bombing” to Incite US Strikes
A Report on an Issue of Strategic Importance
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
EARLY WARNING | Civilization Wanders from Its Path, and is Lost
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Egypt Attempts to Control its Destiny
The Egyptian decision to remove Pres. Morsi was demonstrably no less “democratic” than the decision to remove Pres. Mubarak, but the latest events showed that the US could no longer determine outcomes in the region ...
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Africa and Iran: Iran and Sudan Begin Moves to Dominate Central and Western Africa
The Central African Republic has become a key player, working under Sudanese and Iranian direction, in jihadist action, geared to take advantage of the West’s declining influence in Western and Central Africa, even if it challenges the interests of Iran’s and Sudan’s traditional ally, the People’s…
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
The Syrian War: The View from Moscow
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Victory in Syria: But For Whom?
The US White House, under President Barack Obama, was, by the end of May 2013, considering how to begin more direct engagement in the fighting inside Syria.
AFRICA
EARLY WARNING | The Year the Earth Shifted on its Axis
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The Road to Damascus is Paved with Ill-Intent
The Biblical conversion of Paul to Christianity “on the road to Damascus” implied a turning point for the onetime antagonist of Christ. But now the road to Damascus is an unmarked and uncertain path, full of treachery and hidden motives ...
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Geostrategic Architecture: Suspended Belief
Even North Korea’s strategic brinkmanship has links to the Eastern Mediterranean/Northern Tier crises, but, with everyone so focused on their own geographic area of interest, nobody notices the big picture. It’s as though all beliefs have become suspended in bubbles of jargon.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
CURRENT ESTIMATE | DPRK Nuclear Detonation Was Almost Certainly for Iran
An estimate of an area of key current significance
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Complex Soup: The “Eastern-Mediterranean, Central-Asian, East Asian, Euro-Atlantic and Others” Unified Dilemma
A butterfly flaps its wings at a nuclear test site in Punggye-ri in North Korea, and a political equation becomes a tidal wave in Tehran. It’s more complicated than that, but, yes, everything is related.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE