SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The Turkish President, far from accepting his political and economic constraints, is preparing to embark on new military operations for Türkiye to “secure its borders” with Iraq. But this will have profound effects on the US and Greece, as well as others.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
The surprise announcement of the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor lacks clarity as to the US's intention in drafting the concept, and how it will proceed.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Türkiye has established itself as a major strategic force in Africa, and works extensively through front groups controlled by its national intelligence service and a related “private military contractor”, SADAT.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Russia is emerging as a major victor in the Great Game. Classical geopolitics lives on.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Western analysts have been consistently keen to demonize Vladimir Putin, and predict his early departure. Wishful thinking is never good policy analysis. Assassinations and illness are always wild-cards and possibilities. But the Wagner episode was a mutiny in a teacup.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Türkiye, after its Presidential election, enhanced its negotiating position in the Great Game over Central Asia, but in all other metrics entered possible terminal strategic decline.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS