DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Seeing Reality in the Red Sea Wars
Could the Ethiopia-Egypt conflict be reversed into an alliance?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Nigeria Teeters on the Edge
Insurgency has splintered and spread. Now civilians are becoming State targets.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The New Total War: Decisive Battle, Decisive War
CRIME & CORRUPTION
Terror and Crime: The Indissoluble Marriage’s Second Honeymoon
Contact and cooperation between militant groups and organized crime — an historical match of illegals — has flourished since the early 1990s, eroding political stability around the world.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 09/2020
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Amorphous Warfare: Genocide is Alive and Well in Africa
The Oromo war against Ethiopian nationalists and ethnic Amhara peoples is driven by small extremist groups, supported by foreign governments. But it is virulent and gaining traction. Moreover, its impact is strategic.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
War as a (Fatal) Diversion From Reality
Egypt has been in a proxy war with Ethiopia. Ethiopia failed to grasp this, because war would seem fatal for both sides. Then Egypt stepped back from the brink.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Information Dominance: Agitprop Meets the Social Media Age
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Global Strategy: The Critical “Phony War”
Beijing’s new war against the US and the West could be won or lost before kinetic actions get serious
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EARLY WARNING | Old Soldiers Never Die, But …
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
The COVID-19 Wars: Strategic Warfare Amid Chaos, Threat, Opportunity
“[T]he only thing we have to fear is fear itself — nameless, unreasoning, unjustified terror which paralyzes needed efforts to convert retreat into advance.” — Inaugural address of US Pres. Franklin D. Roosevelt, March 4, 1933.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
The Balkan War II: UAVs Against Serbia
The US drone design pattern worked well for a low-threat air defense environment. Did the US learn enough from its use of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs: drones) in the 1999 war — Operation Allied Force — against Serbia?