SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Last Chance for the ANC?
The removal of Pres. Jacob Zuma in South Africa was a pre-emptive coup by Cyril Ramaphosa to reverse the ANC’s fortunes. But will it work?
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 12/2017
SOVEREIGNTY
Cratometamorphosis: Inclusion, Exclusion, Seclusion?
The mounting hysteria over secessionist and sovereignty movements — whether in Catalonia, Scotland, Kurdistan, Turkey, West Papua, or Oromia — should cause political leaders to reflect on the causes of national schisms rather than merely to attempt to suppress them.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Governance Republic Versus Crown: Competition or Convergence?
A debate is emerging, for the first time in more than a century, over forms of governance. Is it a choice between “republic” and “monarchy”? Or something more? Are “crowned republics” an answer?
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 07/2016
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Australia’s Great Strategic Transition
Australia is about to embark upon only its second strategic “course correction” since Federation in 1901. But it has yet to determine a destination, or to plot a course.
CRIME & CORRUPTION
The Third Border: The US’ Challenge in the Caribbean
A passports-for-sale scandal in Dominica revealed an interesting global corruption network, and a PRC intelligence focus on the “third US Border” in the Caribbean.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
US Strategic Policy Options in a Post-Obama World
The incoming US Trump Administration has in many ways inherited a poisoned chalice, but, equally, there are many areas where decisive leadership is possible.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Strategic Outlook: Emerging Strategic Factors
The High Wellborn Count Axel Oxenstierna of Södermöre, Lord High Rikskansler of Sweden, played an important rôle in the Thirty Years’ War before he died in 1654.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
CURRENT ESTIMATE | UK Options After Brexit: Go Big or Stay Home
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS