STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Test: How Washington Reacts Determines How the World Moves
And, in a unique period of change, the new US Administration is operating from old strategic perceptions, even as it adopts new technology and doctrine
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
What Russia Must Always Do
Russian grand strategy is clarifying, retaining its historical constants, but with new themes.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Turkey, Iran, Biden Push Against Impact of Abraham Accords
The Palestinians — the PA and HAMAS — as well as Turkey, Iran, and Qatar had no option but to return to a state of open warfare against Israel if they were to regain the strategic high ground, lost as a result of the 2020 Abraham Accords.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Jordan’s Fragility in a Fragile Zone
The Eastern Mediterranean-Red Sea strategic nexus is operating in a balance of weakness, and the Hashemite Kingdom is vulnerable.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EARLY WARNING | Farewell, Naïve and Sentimental Voter
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
The UAE: Triumph of Will Over Oil
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Libya: Working to a Doomed Solution
Why are there no real Libyan interests in the proposed Libyan solution?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Isolating the Tatmadaw May Just Be What Beijing Desires
Washington, in 2011, almost missed its first chance in 50 years to secure a break in the PRC’s dominance over Myanmar. Any strident US moves to insist on the installation of an NLD Government might just reverse everything...
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Private Military Contracting: Outsourcing Warfare
Private sector military forces have again become a norm of national security for many governments. But, as history shows, the costs may be higher than desired.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Strategic Frameworks: How Sovereignty Evolves
The concept of the “Westphalian state” — the modern nation-state — has been evolving since 1648, but will we soon see a significant new way in which nationalism and sovereignty are perceived and structured? Somehow, the nation-state does not seem set to disappear.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | US Moves on Taiwan Claw Back Key Strategic Options
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Nigeria Teeters on the Edge
Insurgency has splintered and spread. Now civilians are becoming State targets.