GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
On Which Our Fates Depend
Are the 2 emerging global pillars more at risk from themselves than from each other? Are we seeing the re-emergence of the world division into the maritime states versus the heartland powers? Could the PRC become the first true global heartland/maritime power? What are the three overriding factors?
SOVEREIGNTY
EN CLAIR | Ukraine: The Triumph of Short-Term Politics Over Strategic Vision
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Nagorno-Karabakh: A New US Priority?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Is “The New Thirty Years War” Already Escalating?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | The Re-Emerging Shape of France as a Global Power?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Iran Maneuvers to Face Internal, External Challenges
SOVEREIGNTY
The Inevitable Return of Sovereignty
History's cyclical patterns make the case that sovereignty must make its return as the dominant driver of the global strategic architecture of the 21st Century, whether we like it or not. And apparently most societies demand it, particularly when uncertainty strikes.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | US's Turkey Divorce Complicated by Qatar, Iran, Syria, Russia
The strategic path along which the US and Turkey are traveling has an element of fatalism about it, given that each side fears the divorce for a range of different reasons.
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
EN CLAIR | Turkey’s Crisis May Be Terminal
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Greater Syria: Can Wishing Make It So?
Historical fatalism, water and food shortages, and jihadism conspire to set the stage for a major conflict escalation based on “Greater Syria”. It is already underway.
Afghanistan
The Triumph of Belief: Persian Cæsar?
Not just Iran’s Cæsar abroad, Major-General Qasem Soleimani is finally being recognized as Iran’s “Man on Horseback”.