STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Triumph of Belief: Red Sea Rising
The Red Sea is emerging as a key global strategic dynamic thanks to a revolution begun in Ethiopia. The transformation moves back to a 3,000-year-old pattern, and is far from done.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 07/2018
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Turkey on the March
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EARLY WARNING | Just Where Did You Think We Were Going?
Afghanistan
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Beijing, Tehran: Suzerainty, New Colonialism, and Crime
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Transitions - 06/2018
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Trump Iran Decision: Yes, But What Does It Really Mean?
US Pres. Donald Trump’s move to pull the US out of the Iran nuclear pact was anticipated, and dire forecasts proliferated as to the impact of such a move. But what, in the end, does it really mean? The pact had not led to a real opening between Iran and the West.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Now It Gets Murky: How the US-DPRK Talks Can Evolve
Suddenly, the lights of the diplomatic theater dim, and a wider cast of players — more than initially indicated — move in the shadows. Until now, it has been a game of relatively honest posturing: brightly lit theater.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Is Erdoğan Pushing for Conflict to Galvanize Turkey?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Ethiopia Achieves a Profound Change, But Complexities Abound
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Current Estimate: Turkey’s Flawed Invasion of Syria
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR