DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
How Real is IMEC? As Real as AUKUS?
The surprise announcement of the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor lacks clarity as to the US's intention in drafting the concept, and how it will proceed.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Türkiye’s Strategic Penetration of Africa
Türkiye has established itself as a major strategic force in Africa, and works extensively through front groups controlled by its national intelligence service and a related “private military contractor”, SADAT.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
One BRIC at a Time
The Africa-Middle East space and the implications of the BRICS expansion and rising instability: it’s all about perception, and perception counts.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EN CALIR | Has Africa Abandoned Hope For Democracy?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EN CLAIR | Has the West Already Lost the Red Sea-Suez SLOC?
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
How the Prestige and Trust Deficit Impacts the Strategic Equation
Whole of society warfare — total war — must, to be successful, be conducted under an umbrella psychological strategy. This is not just “information warfare”: it goes to the content of all the messaging which generates trust or distrust, confidence or defeatism.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
EN CLAIR | An African Church Schism Becomes a Global Trigger
Ethiopia’s next leader could create the grand coalition of the Red Sea.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The New Middle East and Africa: The Red Sea Change of Command
Moscow has moved rapidly to rebuild its influence in the Horn of Africa — and Africa generally — to position itself for “Cold War II”, and Washington is attempting to catch up.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 01/2023
SOVEREIGNTY
A New Middle East Has Emerged
It is an all-new greater Middle East, and the locals mostly now answer to themselves.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Global Architecture: Xi in Arabia
It was more consequential than Washington realized. But now the battle has been joined.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Horn of Africa - War is Over: Long Live the War?
Part of the great war in Ethiopia may be over. But another part is still virulent.