SOVEREIGNTY
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 04/2019
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Options for Africa as Nigeria Moves into a “Post-Democratic” Phase
The hopes for democracy in Africa seem almost to have vanished overnight because of the disappearance of serious international scrutiny of the manipulation of electoral and governance processes, largely since “the West” abandoned the Continent to the People’s Republic of China.
AFRICA
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Britain’s Conduct of Strategic Affairs is Paralyzed by Brexit
How can the Brexit Party turn its attention, once the European elections are complete, toward Westminister? If PM May delivered a compromised Brexit on October 31, 2019, there may be a collapse in support for both major parties, opening the way for a re-named Brexit Party in a multi-polar Parliament
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
ENCLAIR | Indonesia, Amid Growth and Challenges, Will Boost Defense Spending
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Changes in the Indian Ocean at the Core of the “New Balance”
Could the UK soon lose sovereignty over Diego Garcia? If so, the US would lose another key base in the Indo-Pacific. And how are Oman and Qatar planning for the future? Could the US even project force again into a major Afghan operation, or into Iraq?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Korea and the Return of China’s Tributary States
The Forthcoming Struggles and Wars, According to Xi Jinping
HISTORY
ESSENTIAL READING | The Great War for India?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The PRC’s Internal Conversation
Beijing starts to frame a rationale and strategy for its New Thirty Years War with the United States.
CRIME & CORRUPTION
Sierra Leone Begins Slipping Back to “Business as Usual”
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
On Which Our Fates Depend
Are the 2 emerging global pillars more at risk from themselves than from each other? Are we seeing the re-emergence of the world division into the maritime states versus the heartland powers? Could the PRC become the first true global heartland/maritime power? What are the three overriding factors?
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA