PERSONNEL
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Crisis or Opportunity in the Southern Caucasus?
US legislation would unambiguously recognize that the “illegally occupied” areas of Azerbaijan would include the Nagorno-Karabakh region and seven surrounding districts occupied by Armenia since the early 1990s. This would be a significant political advance for Azerbaijan.
Afghanistan
Beijing’s “Unavoidable” War: The 21st Century’s Total War Has Begun
The new form of “total war” which Beijing has begun is more comprehensive and amorphous than any strategic engagement seen thus far in history. And Beijing has learned from history: direct military engagement is, of necessity, a very secondary component. This is a war which Pres.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Pivot: Did NATO’s Serbian War Set the Stage for the Decline of Western Power?
Is the US only now starting to regain some of an element of strategic military impetus after the peaking of its capabilities and prestige became evident with the Clinton War against Serbia in 1999? The war spurred Beijing and Moscow into reviewing their defenses.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Beijing, Increasingly Desperate, Continues Assault on Eswatini
PRC's Ambassador to South Africa issued a 7-page statement to Eswatini demanding that it change its diplomatic allegiance from the ROC or face total isolation from the African and world community. Beijing is now lashing out to subdue what is seen as a mounting global repudiation of Beijing.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
ESSENTIAL READING | Creating and Saving
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | South China Sea Clashes Inch the Balance Against Beijing
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Why a Coup Attempt in Southern Africa is Strategically Important
The UK has reportedly been promised concessions to exploit Eswatini reserves of diamonds and natural gas, among other things, in a “post-Mswati” Eswatini. And yet the Swati people and chiefdoms overwhelming support their traditional structures and monarchy.
SOVEREIGNTY
CURRENT ESTIMATE | How Long Can South Africa Survive as a Cohesive State?
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Moving Warfighting Truly Into the Next Generation
So, then, the next revolution must be the study and implementation of grand strategy. Failure in this science would automatically negate all the progress in defense doctrine and technology.
SOVEREIGNTY
CURRENT ESTIMATE | How Much Could the Loss of West Papua Hurt Indonesia?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Iran: The Art of the Bazaar Deal
US Pres. Donald Trump tried his “Art of the Deal” approach to get Iranian leaders to the negotiating table. But Iran’s clerical leader has adopted a different approach, designed to ensure the continuation of the leadership, even if it means suffering through a war.