SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
War in a Time of Weakness
The 2020 Fear Pandemic breakpoint has moved the world from “strategic competition” to semi-formal hostilities. It is now about strategic management in a period of economic and population decline.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
The COVID-19 Wars: Strategic Warfare Amid Chaos, Threat, Opportunity
“[T]he only thing we have to fear is fear itself — nameless, unreasoning, unjustified terror which paralyzes needed efforts to convert retreat into advance.” — Inaugural address of US Pres. Franklin D. Roosevelt, March 4, 1933.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Pivot: Did NATO’s Serbian War Set the Stage for the Decline of Western Power?
Is the US only now starting to regain some of an element of strategic military impetus after the peaking of its capabilities and prestige became evident with the Clinton War against Serbia in 1999? The war spurred Beijing and Moscow into reviewing their defenses.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
ESSENTIAL READING | Creating and Saving
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
State of the World: Parlous, Transforming, Yet in Some Ways Stabilizing, Optimistic
The optimism may be hard to find, but the fact that crisis is now clearly upon us gives a certain clarity.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Nuclear Powers in the Act of Colliding
Iran now considers war against Israel to be feasible and winnable…and Israel responds
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 08/2019
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Hong Kong's Protests Reflect the New Global Strategic Realities Challenging Beijing
Affairs in smaller geopolitical entities — such as Hong Kong and Dominica — show significant vulnerabilities in Beijing's apparently seamless rise to strategic power.
CRIME & CORRUPTION
CURRENT ESTIMATE | The US “Gunpowder Treason and Plot” Takes a New Turn
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
EARLY WARNING | Beijing’s Bravura: its Main Strategic Weapon
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Korea and the Return of China’s Tributary States
The Forthcoming Struggles and Wars, According to Xi Jinping
PERSONNEL