DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Has the US Offensive Peaked?
In an evolving period of transformation, exacerbated by US global initiatives, everything has changed, but nothing has been resolved.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Much Rides on the Success of the New Colombian Government
A trend toward moderate, pro-US governments is emerging in South America. Will it be enough to ensure President Trump’s desire for a Washington-dominated Western Hemisphere?
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Strategic Messaging: The Frequent Point of Failure
Has the US’ patchy record in strategic messaging robbed it of the consistent strategic progress it could have had, and denied it the support of various societies around the world? This may be coming to a head in 2026. But first, how do we define “strategic messaging” in the 21st Century?
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 01/2026
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | How the US Prepares to Defeat the PRC in the Caribbean
It is not a question of if the US was now prepared to bring its conflict with Venezuela to a head; it was, by mid-October 2025, merely a matter of when and to what degree the matter would be brought to resolution.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EN CLAIR | Can the US Avoid Escalating Against Venezuela?
The US Government seemed likely, by mid-September 2025, to escalate military and political pressure to curb Venezuela’s central role in narcotics trafficking to the US and, if possible, to cause the collapse of the Venezuelan Government of President Nicolás Maduro.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 08/2025
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Trump’s Unsurprising Major Target: the Americas
It has to be assumed, by recent and past actions, that Pres. Trump feels that most of the old alliances are no longer functioning in US or even global interests, and that he has no problem walking away from them. But then what?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Venezuela’s Maduro: A Constant in a Changing World
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 09/2024
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Guyana-Venezuela: When Will It Escalate to a Broader, Proxy War?
Or has it already done so? And will the West have to move away from sanctions as a primary strategic weapon, and rely more on direct measures?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
One BRIC at a Time
The Africa-Middle East space and the implications of the BRICS expansion and rising instability: it’s all about perception, and perception counts.