PERSONNEL
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | How the US Prepares to Defeat the PRC in the Caribbean
It is not a question of if the US was now prepared to bring its conflict with Venezuela to a head; it was, by mid-October 2025, merely a matter of when and to what degree the matter would be brought to resolution.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EN CLAIR | Can the US Avoid Escalating Against Venezuela?
The US Government seemed likely, by mid-September 2025, to escalate military and political pressure to curb Venezuela’s central role in narcotics trafficking to the US and, if possible, to cause the collapse of the Venezuelan Government of President Nicolás Maduro.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 08/2025
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Trump’s Unsurprising Major Target: the Americas
It has to be assumed, by recent and past actions, that Pres. Trump feels that most of the old alliances are no longer functioning in US or even global interests, and that he has no problem walking away from them. But then what?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Venezuela’s Maduro: A Constant in a Changing World
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 09/2024
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Guyana-Venezuela: When Will It Escalate to a Broader, Proxy War?
Or has it already done so? And will the West have to move away from sanctions as a primary strategic weapon, and rely more on direct measures?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
One BRIC at a Time
The Africa-Middle East space and the implications of the BRICS expansion and rising instability: it’s all about perception, and perception counts.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Has the West Abandoned Central Asia, and Vice-Versa?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
The Eurasian Bloc Escalates its War for the Americas
Cold War II has taken on a more global definition as the Eurasian bloc emerges.
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS