STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EN CALIR | The End of “Business as Usual”
The Ukraine war has helped crystallize a confluence of negative strategic trends.
HISTORY
Reflections as We Move Into the New Global Architecture
Defense & Foreign Affairs has turned 50. It has lived through a transformative period, but one which serves only as a prelude to a totally new era. Should we be celebrating? Or should we be equipping ourselves for a very different future? The answer is surprisingly positive.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The Indo-Pacific: EABO and the Need for Speed
Strategic shock in the Pacific might occur as suddenly as it did in Ukraine. Who's ready?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Initial Strategic Lessons of the Russia-Ukraine War
Anything your adversary (a) wants you to do, (b) goads you to do, (c) offers to you as a gift, or (c) says you will do is almost certainly something you do not want to do. The Ukraine conflict was, by April 2022, offering a wide range of strategic, actical, and technological lessons.
HISTORY
ESSENTIAL READING | A History of Savagery
Important New Strategic Literature
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Surviving the First Shot
It is said that no plan of campaign survives beyond the first shot fired. But, in the case of the Russia-Ukraine military campaign of February-March 2022, and — most importantly — all that contrived to its beginning, some trends and lessons are already visible.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Under the Ukraine Cloud, PRC Makes First Challenge to AUKUS
The Solomons and Kiribati moves place the PRC into the South Pacific, beyond the First Island Chain. This would inhibit AUKUS’ ability to protect Taiwan in the event of war. It would also put the PRC astride the junction of major undersea comms cables near the Solomons.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Canada’s Justin Trudeau Ignites a New Worldwide Trend
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EN CLAIR | Military Superiority versus Strategic Superiority
The People’s Liberation Army has made impressive gains. Does it matter?
AFRICA
The PuYi Syndrome
Washington, the Americas, and the Tragedy of PuYi: How the US awakes and finds itself isolated in its own region.
AFRICA
EARLY WARNING | Dawn After the End-Cycle of Locusts
HISTORY