SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EN CLAIR | Military Superiority versus Strategic Superiority
The People’s Liberation Army has made impressive gains. Does it matter?
AFRICA
The PuYi Syndrome
Washington, the Americas, and the Tragedy of PuYi: How the US awakes and finds itself isolated in its own region.
AFRICA
EARLY WARNING | Dawn After the End-Cycle of Locusts
HISTORY
ESSENTIAL READING | Failure to Plan
HISTORY
Consequences: Today It Is Us; Tomorrow It Is You
The Horn of Africa is sliding toward a major war which seems likely to rapidly expand to embrace the major powers. The situation has strong parallels to the 1935 Italian invasion of Ethiopia, which began World War II and destroyed the League of Nations.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
ESSENTIAL READING | Entering the Space Race
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EN CLAIR | Return of Free-Form Strategic Dynamics in the Middle East, Northern Tier, and Africa
Coups, as a form of “regime change”, are once again “permissible” in the greater Middle East and Africa as out-of-region powers lose traction. But then what?
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
EARLY WARNING | We Have Met the Enemy…
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Inertia’s Impact on Strategic Reality
Cyclic trendlines of growth and collapse in societies lead external observers to positions of either unrealistic optimism, unrealistic pessimism, or expectations of unrealistic timescales.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
ESSENTIAL READING | The Past as Prologue
HISTORY
ESSENTIAL READING | ...And One More on Greenland
HISTORY