GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Greater Syria: Can Wishing Make It So?
Historical fatalism, water and food shortages, and jihadism conspire to set the stage for a major conflict escalation based on “Greater Syria”. It is already underway.
Afghanistan
The Triumph of Belief: Persian Cæsar?
Not just Iran’s Cæsar abroad, Major-General Qasem Soleimani is finally being recognized as Iran’s “Man on Horseback”.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Triumph of Belief: Red Sea Rising
The Red Sea is emerging as a key global strategic dynamic thanks to a revolution begun in Ethiopia. The transformation moves back to a 3,000-year-old pattern, and is far from done.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Ethiopia Moves to Re-Establish Itself as a Red Sea Power
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Breaking Stalemates: Current Context
There is no doubt that Iran and North Korea have capable nuclear weapons systems and the means to deliver them. This has created in their leaderships a new-found confidence, which has been expressed in recent actions.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Saudi Arabia’s Fortunes Reach a Critical Juncture
Saudi Arabia has plunged its immediate region into major strategic uncertainty.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
ESSENTIAL READING | Coming to Grips With Yemen
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
Devouring the Kingdom
US-Saudi and Saudi-PRC relations are a factor in continued US dollar dominance. Beijing is poised to become a major rival to the US for influence in Saudi Arabia, and this could become the hub of the launch of the renminbi as a global currency.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Searching for Meaning in the US National Security Strategy
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Persia Rising: Strategic Ramifications of Iran’s Regional Proxies
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Is the Iranian Empire Finally Re-Emerging?
A revived Persian Empire is within Iran’s grasp. The mullahs’ Tehran, which had long resisted the call of traditional Persian geopolitical thinking, now seems to be embracing Persian geopolitics...