HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Most Western states, focus on considering ASAT countermeasures rather than offensive ASAT systems of their own, given the inherent danger of space debris impacting the space dominance of the West’s extensive orbital assets.
RESOURCES
PERSONNEL
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Uzbekistan’s presidential election confirmed the nation’s retention of a strong line to cope with the collapse of neighboring Afghanistan. Tashkent is preparing for the storm.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
It was possible that the Ethiopian Military could have staged a coup against Dr Abiy, but even a military-controlled post-Abiy government would have had to move quickly to stop the rebels and their foreign sponsors, which include the Egyptian and US governments.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
PERSONNEL
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Coups, as a form of “regime change”, are once again “permissible” in the greater Middle East and Africa as out-of-region powers lose traction. But then what?
Afghanistan
Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States hastily created a new global alliance, but its founders have different views of alliance priorities. AUKUS might actually work, but the US seems intent on jeopardizing Red Sea security, critical to making the bloc work.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
State Dept. sources admit privately that they were using the same playbook against Ethiopia as they used during the US Clinton Administration against Serbia in the 1990s to break up Yugoslavia and Serbia.
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS